4802

4521

كارشناسي ارشد

برنامه ريزي سيستم هاي اقتصادي

اصفهان: دانشگاه صنعتي اصفهان، دانشكده صنايع و سيستمها

1388

ده، 161 ص: مصور، نمودار، جدول

ص. ع به فارسي و انگليسي

نادر شتاب بوشهري

بهروز ارباب شيراني

4/9/88

جمشيد پرويزيان

1396/09/22

كتابنامه

مهندسي صنايع و سيستم ها

ID4521

به فارسي وانگليسي: قابل رويت در نسخه ديجيتال

A System Dynamics Model for Analyzing Iran s Energy Economy System Saeid Pourmasoumi Langarudi s pourmasoumi@in iut ac ir 1388 1 19 Department of Industrial System Engineering Isfahan University of Technology Isfahan 84156 83111 Iran Degree M Sc language Farsi Nader Shetab Boushehri shetab@cc iut ac irAbstract In 1978 Ali Naghi Mashayekhi made a system dynamics model for Iran s economy that was able to simulate Iran ssocio economic system This model that has been built on the basis of microeconomic behavior has a powerful structure This thesis has made a system dynamics energy economy model based on Mashayekhi s dynamic model The formermodel regards feedback loops between energy sector and the other sectors of the economy Our model structure is designedin the way that could examine a variety of policies in the case of energy economy problems that are the main concerns inthis context The energy sector in this model includes 8 subsectors oil exploration and discovery oil production gas exploration anddiscovery gas production energy demand energy investment energy technology and energy trades Interactions betweenthese subsectors and Mashayekhi s model which represents Iran s socio economic structure very well exhibit a powerfuland robust model which could be used for analyzing the complicated feedback structure of Iran s energy economy system The thesis results show that applying some policies simultaneously could improve the system behavior These policiesinclude 1 allocating bigger share of natural gas produced domestically to inject to the oil wells 2 economizing domesticenergy consumption and restricting energy imports 3 investing for increasing the natural gas domestic market share 4 endeavoring for the sake of improvement of the international political relationships It is better to perform these policiessmoothly for decreasing negative psychic and social impacts of the arising shocks that are consequences of enforcing thepolicies mentioned KeywordsSimulation system dynamics energy economy model pdfMachine A pdf writer that produces quality PDF files with ease Produce quality PDF files in seconds and preserve the integrity of your original documents Compatible across nearly all Windows platforms if you can print from a windows application you can use pdfMachine Get yours now

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