تعيين و ارزيابي معيار هاي پايداري در مديريت منابع آب حوضه آبريز زاينده رود

چكيده انگليسي :

Determination and Assessment of Sustainability Criteria for Zayandeh Rud River Basin Seyed Ehsan Tavakoli Nabavi e nabavi@cv iut ac ir Date of Submission March 16 2011 Department of Civil Engineering Isfahan University of Technology Isfahan 84156 83111 Iran Degree M Sc Language FarsiSupervisors Dr H R Safavi hasafavi@cc iut ac ir Adviser Dr Ali Bagheri ali bagheri@modares ac ir AbstractRiver basin can be a proper example of complex system It s comprehensible that any trifle alteration in suchsystems may cause a surprising response in other dimensions of them Also the necessity of determination andimplementation of a viable Decision Support System for developing a sustainable procedure of a region is obvious For this purpose both of the approach and consequently the tools would be influential for decision makingprocedure Hence Sustainable Development is a concept which is absolutely needs a holistic integrated andsystemic approach Many scholars draw a distinction between the two terms of comprehensive water resourcemanagement and integrated water resource management As is unfortunately common in this field different scholarsdefine the terms in different ways leading to confusion So it is essential to discriminate between ComprehensiveManagement and Integrated Management before doing the research Thus along with using various techniquesfor supporting this idea our emphasis should be on the integrated management rather than comprehensivemanagement of the system by applying methods which can able us to monitor long term subjects and developstrategies for dealing with the main idea of sustainable development concept With aforementioned definition abouttwo primary terms of integrated management and comprehensive management we can organize an appropriate planfor efficient monitoring of the events occurred in the Zayandeh rud basin Firstly in this monograph the current condition of the basin by an issue oriented perspective was assessed and afterthat the basin s complex system was modeled by the use of system dynamic tool Also according to the determinedDynamic Sustainable Development paradigm all the active economic environmental and social processes in thebasin were extracted Afterward on the basis of current condition assessment sustainable strategies throughViability Loops technique were determined and as a result indicators for monitoring sustainability of Zayandeh Rudwater resources used for balancing the destructive mechanisms in the basin were generated By completingrudimentary materials of the suggested Decision Support System the analysis and decision making procedure in thenext part can be commenced In the last part of the research suggested policy packages under different scenarios forshort mid and long term were analyzed and ranked by PROMETHEE method In short determination andimplementation of a Strategic Decision Support System S DSS can be considered as the major outcome of theresearch In conclusion decision makers and parties have defective foresight and a blurred understanding of theZayandeh rud basin s status quo and also parties conditions and characteristics Providing information about thedynamic structure of the problem by systemic thinking prior to using MCDM techniques could help change ideas behaviors and decisions to reduce overall losses in the basin Keywords Sustainable Development Sustainability in water resources Systemic approach Viability Loops idea System Dynamic Strategic Decision Support System Zayandeh Rud Basin

توكلي نبوي، احسان

تعيين و ارزيابي معيار هاي پايداري در مديريت منابع آب حوضه آبريز زاينده رود

توسعه پايدار , تفكر سيستميك , حلقه هاي كارايي , سيستم ديناميك , سامانه ي پشتيبان تصميم استراتژيك