تخصيص منابع آب با استفاده از روش هاي حل اختلاف مطالعه موردي: حوضه رودخانه زاينده رود

چكيده انگليسي :

Water Allocation in a River Basin Using Conflict Resolution Methods A Case Study Zayandehroud River Basin Milad Mehrparvar miladmehrparvar@gmail com September 17 2012 Department of Civil Engineering Isfahan University of Technology Isfahan 84156 83111 IranDegree M Sc Language farsiSupervisors A Ahmadi aahmadi@cc iut ac ir H R Safavi hasafavi@cc iut ac ir AbstractThe imbalance between water resources and water demands in the river basins cause conflicts over waterallocation to various users Game theory is considered as a new tool for conflict resolution in the contextof water resources In this study different game theory methods are used including the cooperative andnon cooperative approaches to water allocation in a river basin To develop a cooperative approach evenfour scenarios are used which consider irrigation improvement withdrawl limitation from aquifers anddevelopment projests to transfer water into the basin The Bankruptcy method is a cooperative approachbased on fairness allocation while estate is fewer than stakeholder s claims Proportional Pr ApprovalProportional AP and Constrained Equal Award CEA method are the types of Bankruptcy approach Two first methods provide equal ratio of stakeholder s demands and in another one the stakeholders withlow claim value will gain more benefit than others Results show that the stakeholders approximately gain50 of their claims in drought period and 80 in normal situation with Pr and AP methods In CEAmethod stakeholders like Industrial and domestic sectors out of the basin with low claims completelyreach their demands Then these methods are evaluated by Stability index SI and it shows that AP isproper method for drought periods and CEA for normal periods In order to to examine fifferent waterallocation policies Separable Cost Remaining Benefit SCRB based on core method is used Thismethod is based on stakeholder s cooperation and economic performance Cooperation condition in thisapproach is not claiming on complete water demand So the stakeholders with high claims and higheconomic efficiency are effective on forming coalitions The result of this approach is compared withinitial allocation based on water rights and historical laws This game theory approach increases benefitsof using water for system and have better performance than initial allocation in economic view All of thecooperative approaches are evaluated with social choices methods and the results show that CEA is aproper allocation method Graph Model Conflict Resolution is implemented as a non cooperative gametheory in a basin with two stakeholders including Isfahan Regional Water Authority and IsfahanAgriculture Organization with conflict analysis of this game equilbrium scenario will be presented Inthis scenario tell Agricultural sectors can develop the cultivated area with improvement in the irrigationefficiency while Isfahan Regional Water Authority should control limit water withdrawal from theaquifers Key Words Conflict Resolution Game Theory Water Allocation Cooperative Non Cooperative

مهرپرور، ميلاد

تخصيص منابع آب با استفاده از روش هاي حل اختلاف مطالعه موردي: حوضه رودخانه زاينده رود

رفع اختلاف , نظريه بازي ها , همكارانه , غير همكارانه